SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aalesund | Draw | Tromso IL |
20.41% ( -5.7) | 25.07% ( -0.31) | 54.51% ( 6.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.26% ( -5.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.69% ( -3.92) | 55.31% ( 3.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( -3.32) | 76.53% ( 3.32) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.03% ( -7.57) | 41.97% ( 7.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.59% ( -7.3) | 78.41% ( 7.3) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( 0.93) | 20.28% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.37% ( 1.46) | 52.63% ( -1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aalesund | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -1.32)2-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.95)3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.81)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.6)3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.55)Other @ 1.11% Total : 20.41% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 1.22)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.91)Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 13.58% ( 2.27) 0-2 @ 10.83% ( 2.06)1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.76% ( 1.23)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.54)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.41)1-4 @ 2% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.46% Total : 54.51% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
