SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 54.03%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 23.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Aalesund |
54.03% ( 0.02) | 22.82% ( 0) | 23.15% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.78% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.83% ( -0.04) | 43.17% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.44% ( -0.04) | 65.57% ( 0.05) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% ( -0.01) | 15.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.82% ( -0.02) | 45.18% ( 0.02) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( -0.04) | 32.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% ( -0.04) | 68.99% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Aalesund |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.57% Total : 54.03% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 23.15% |
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