SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Tromso IL | 12 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Jerv | 13 | -14 | 11 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 11 | -18 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | HamKam | 13 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 12 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | Valerenga Fotball | 13 | -7 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Jerv had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Jerv win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sandefjord in this match.
| Result | ||
| Jerv | Draw | Sandefjord |
32.69% ( 0.44) | 23.91% ( 0.02) | 43.39% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 60.74% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.61% ( 0.05) | 41.38% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.21% ( 0.05) | 63.78% ( -0.05) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( 0.29) | 24.7% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( 0.4) | 59.24% ( -0.4) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( -0.18) | 19.33% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.9% ( -0.29) | 51.09% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jerv | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 43.39% |
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