Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.