Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
-0.13) 
0.02) 
