Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 64.6%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 15.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.