SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 72.23%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Lillestrom had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Lillestrom win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Lillestrom |
72.23% ( -0.1) | 15.17% ( 0.04) | 12.6% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.09) | 24.82% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.32% ( -0.11) | 44.68% ( 0.11) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.95% ( -0.04) | 6.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.97% ( -0.1) | 23.03% ( 0.1) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% ( 0.01) | 32.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.11% ( 0.01) | 68.89% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.13% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.58% 4-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 4.6% Total : 72.23% | 1-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.39% Total : 15.17% | 1-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 12.6% |
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