Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Mjondalen had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Mjondalen win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.