Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Mjondalen had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Mjondalen win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.