Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Mjondalen had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Mjondalen win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.