Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.