Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjondalen win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjondalen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.