Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 74.97%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
