SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Bodo/Glimt | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lillestrom | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Molde | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 11 | 10 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Molde |
25.79% ( 0.21) | 24.66% ( 0.42) | 49.55% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% ( -1.61) | 48.67% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( -1.48) | 70.78% ( 1.47) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% ( -0.69) | 33.21% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.18% ( -0.77) | 69.82% ( 0.76) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( -0.88) | 19.67% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% ( -1.45) | 51.65% ( 1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Molde |
| 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.79% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.16)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.55% |
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