Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 72.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Mjondalen had a probability of 10.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Mjondalen win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.