Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 76.91%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 9.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.