Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Stabaek Football had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Stabaek Football win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.