Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.