SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 56.55%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 3-1 (6.85%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Rosenborg |
56.55% ( 2.15) | 20.35% ( -0.48) | 23.1% ( -1.68) |
| Both teams to score 65.72% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.57% ( 0.46) | 31.43% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.1% ( 0.54) | 52.89% ( -0.54) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.78% ( 0.74) | 11.22% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.24% ( 1.59) | 35.76% ( -1.59) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( -0.99) | 25.97% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( -1.35) | 60.99% ( 1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Rosenborg |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.24)1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.25)4-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.14)4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.55% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.35% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.13% Total : 23.1% |
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