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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 23
Sep 24, 2023 at 4pm UK
Arasen Stadion
R

Lillestrom
3 - 0
Rosenborg

Tonnessen (41'), Lehne Olsen (58' pen., 65')
Lehne Olsen (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thorvaldsson (22'), Selnaes (26'), Nelson (53'), Hansen (57')
Nelson (66')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Lillestrom and Rosenborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarpsborg 3-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 1-1 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.02%) and 1-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.

Result
LillestromDrawRosenborg
54.02% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 21.2% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 24.78% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 64.65% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.3% (0.188 0.19)33.7% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.47% (0.214 0.21)55.52% (-0.218 -0.22)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.33% (0.082999999999998 0.08)12.67% (-0.086 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.16% (0.17299999999999 0.17)38.84% (-0.177 -0.18)
Rosenborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (0.082999999999998 0.08)25.97% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (0.115 0.12)60.99% (-0.118 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Lillestrom 54.02%
    Rosenborg 24.78%
    Draw 21.2%
LillestromDrawRosenborg
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.8% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.52% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.4% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.37% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.27% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.02%
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.2%
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sarpsborg 3-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 1-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 1-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, August 20 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-3 Viking FK
Sunday, August 13 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 3-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 3-1 HamKam
Sunday, July 30 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 1-1 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 3-1 Rosenborg
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 4-0 Aalesund
Sunday, August 27 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 3-0 Rosenborg
Sunday, August 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Rosenborg
Thursday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rosenborg 2-1 Hearts
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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