SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.02%) and 1-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Rosenborg |
54.02% ( 0.07) | 21.2% ( -0.04) | 24.78% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 64.65% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.3% ( 0.19) | 33.7% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.47% ( 0.21) | 55.52% ( -0.22) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.33% ( 0.08) | 12.67% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.16% ( 0.17) | 38.84% ( -0.18) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 0.08) | 25.97% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( 0.12) | 60.99% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Rosenborg |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 54.02% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.29% Total : 24.78% |
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