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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 25
Oct 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
Brann Stadion
ML

Brann
3 - 2
Molde

Kartum (49', 78'), Borsting (71')
Kartum (22'), Heggebo (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gulbrandsen (5'), Ellingsen (90+5' pen.)
Gulbrandsen (16'), Oyvann (38'), Petersen (71'), Grodem (81')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between SK Brann and Molde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valerenga 1-2 Brann
Sunday, October 8 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 1-3 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, October 8 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Molde had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.

Result
SK BrannDrawMolde
43.26% (0.546 0.55) 23.94% (-0.142 -0.14) 32.79% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 60.68% (0.369 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.51% (0.544 0.54)41.49% (-0.541 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.11% (0.54799999999999 0.55)63.88% (-0.545 -0.55)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (0.464 0.46)19.43% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (0.752 0.75)51.26% (-0.749 -0.75)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (0.024000000000001 0.02)24.69% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03)59.22% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    SK Brann 43.26%
    Molde 32.79%
    Draw 23.94%
SK BrannDrawMolde
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 43.26%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.94%
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.79%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Valerenga 1-2 Brann
Sunday, October 8 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Lillestrom 0-2 Brann
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Tromso
Sunday, September 24 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stabaek 0-1 Brann
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 1-0 Sarpsborg
Sunday, September 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 3-3 AZ (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Molde 1-3 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, October 8 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Molde 4-0 Viking FK
Sunday, October 1 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Stromsgodset 1-1 Molde
Sunday, September 24 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Qarabag 1-0 Molde
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Molde 4-1 Odd
Saturday, September 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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