Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.
Result | ||
Tromso IL | Draw | Rosenborg |
40.47% ( 0.83) | 25.43% ( -0.18) | 34.1% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 55.87% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.07% ( 0.67) | 47.93% ( -0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.89% ( 0.62) | 70.11% ( -0.62) |
Tromso IL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.52% ( 0.72) | 23.47% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.5% ( 1.04) | 57.49% ( -1.04) |
Rosenborg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% ( -0.07) | 26.99% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% ( -0.09) | 62.34% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Tromso IL | Draw | Rosenborg |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.47% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.1% |
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