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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 21
Sep 3, 2023 at 4pm UK
Alfheim Stadion
R

Tromso
3 - 1
Rosenborg

Napoleon Romsaas (15'), Antonsen (48'), Erlien (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Tromso IL and Rosenborg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarpsborg 4-0 Tromso
Saturday, August 26 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 4-0 Aalesund
Sunday, August 27 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.

Result
Tromso ILDrawRosenborg
40.47% (0.829 0.83) 25.43% (-0.179 -0.18) 34.1% (-0.649 -0.65)
Both teams to score 55.87% (0.477 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07% (0.672 0.67)47.93% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (0.616 0.62)70.11% (-0.617 -0.62)
Tromso IL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (0.724 0.72)23.47% (-0.725 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (1.038 1.04)57.49% (-1.038 -1.04)
Rosenborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)26.99% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)62.34% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Tromso IL 40.47%
    Rosenborg 34.1%
    Draw 25.42%
Tromso ILDrawRosenborg
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.087 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.17% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.47%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.1%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sarpsborg 4-0 Tromso
Saturday, August 26 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 1-0 Sandefjord
Sunday, August 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 3-1 Lillestrom
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 0-2 Tromso
Sunday, July 30 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Tromso 3-1 Brann
Sunday, July 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 2-1 Tromso
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 4-0 Aalesund
Sunday, August 27 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: HamKam 3-0 Rosenborg
Sunday, August 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Rosenborg
Thursday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rosenborg 2-1 Hearts
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Haugesund 1-2 Rosenborg
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Rosenborg 3-2 Crusaders
Thursday, August 3 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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