SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Valerenga Fotball | 13 | -7 | 14 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | FK Haugesund | 14 | -5 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 13 | 7 | 19 |
| 8 | Aalesund | 13 | -2 | 19 |
| 9 | Odd | 14 | -5 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sandefjord | Draw | Aalesund |
32.15% ( 0.5) | 24.14% ( -0.12) | 43.7% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 59.69% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.33% ( 0.74) | 42.67% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.93% ( 0.73) | 65.07% ( -0.73) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( 0.67) | 25.64% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.46% ( 0.9) | 60.54% ( -0.91) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( 0.13) | 19.72% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.26% ( 0.22) | 51.73% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sandefjord | Draw | Aalesund |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.15% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 43.7% |
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