SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Rosenborg | 11 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 | Sarpsborg 08 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
| 9 | Aalesund | 12 | -3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | HamKam | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Tromso IL | 11 | -3 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Sandefjord |
47.71% ( -6.49) | 22.46% ( 0.92) | 29.83% ( 5.57) |
| Both teams to score 64.55% ( 1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.25% ( 0.19) | 35.75% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.17% ( 0.21) | 57.82% ( -0.2) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.57% ( -2.06) | 15.43% ( 2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.72% ( -4) | 44.27% ( 4.01) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.33% ( 3.91) | 23.67% ( -3.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% ( 5.34) | 57.78% ( -5.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.43) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.59)2-0 @ 6.38% ( -1.09)3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.73)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -1.04)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.57)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.66)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.31)4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.71% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.43)0-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.93) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.52)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.74)1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.76)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.52)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.51)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.38)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.29)Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.83% |
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