SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Bodo/Glimt | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 10 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Aalesund | 10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 9 | 5 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Aalesund |
40.16% ( 0.54) | 25.17% ( 0.08) | 34.66% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% ( -0.47) | 46.7% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( -0.44) | 68.96% ( 0.44) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( 0.07) | 23.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.07% ( 0.1) | 56.93% ( -0.09) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( -0.58) | 26.07% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.88% ( -0.79) | 61.12% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Aalesund |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.33% Total : 34.66% |
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