SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 2-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sandefjord | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
14.04% ( 0.13) | 18.27% ( -0.02) | 67.69% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.1% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.98% ( 0.4) | 37.02% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.79% ( 0.42) | 59.21% ( -0.42) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% ( 0.44) | 38.76% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.51% ( 0.41) | 75.5% ( -0.41) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.96% ( 0.08) | 10.04% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.89% ( 0.19) | 33.11% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sandefjord | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.87% Total : 14.04% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.27% | 0-2 @ 10.28% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0)0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 7.88% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 7.47% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 2.08% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 4% Total : 67.69% |
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