Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 12.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 3-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
Result | ||
Lillestrom | Draw | Sandefjord |
70.38% (![]() | 16.9% (![]() | 12.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.39% (![]() | 33.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.58% (![]() | 55.41% (![]() |
Lillestrom Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.48% (![]() | 8.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.5% (![]() | 29.49% (![]() |
Sandefjord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.56% (![]() | 38.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.81% (![]() | 75.18% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lillestrom | Draw | Sandefjord |
2-0 @ 9.93% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.8% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 70.38% | 1-1 @ 7.71% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.9% | 1-2 @ 3.69% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 12.71% |
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