SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 66.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Sandefjord |
66.42% ( -0.01) | 18.48% ( 0.02) | 15.09% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.18% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.33% ( -0.15) | 35.67% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.27% ( -0.17) | 57.73% ( 0.17) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.03% ( -0.04) | 9.97% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.04% ( -0.1) | 32.96% ( 0.1) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( -0.12) | 36.48% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.73% ( -0.12) | 73.27% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0)5-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.18% Total : 66.42% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.48% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 15.09% |
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