Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.
