Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Start win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Mjondalen had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Start win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Mjondalen win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Start would win this match.