SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Viking FK | 20 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 | Stromsgodset | 20 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Tromso IL | 20 | -5 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | FK Haugesund | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Aalesund | 20 | -9 | 22 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 20 | -11 | 22 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 54.02%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 24.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.07%) and 1-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Aalesund |
54.02% ( 1.38) | 21.24% ( -0.4) | 24.74% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 64.45% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.06% ( 0.97) | 33.94% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.2% ( 1.1) | 55.8% ( -1.09) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.25% ( 0.75) | 12.75% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.99% ( 1.52) | 39.01% ( -1.52) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% ( -0.18) | 26.13% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.8% ( -0.25) | 61.2% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Aalesund |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.43% Total : 54.02% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.74% |
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