SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Valerenga Fotball | 16 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Stromsgodset | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aalesund | 16 | -3 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Odd | 18 | -14 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 | 16 | 2 | 19 |
| 12 | HamKam | 17 | -1 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.38%) and 3-1 (5.2%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
42.4% ( -0.05) | 22.06% ( -0.1) | 35.53% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 68.72% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.66% ( 0.51) | 31.33% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.21% ( 0.6) | 52.78% ( -0.61) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.34% ( 0.19) | 15.65% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.32% ( 0.35) | 44.68% ( -0.35) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( 0.3) | 18.52% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.25% ( 0.5) | 49.75% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.96% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.53% |
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