SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Valerenga Fotball | 18 | 3 | 27 |
| 7 | Stromsgodset | 17 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Odd | 19 | -13 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Sarpsborg 08 | 19 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Jerv | 18 | -24 | 14 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 18 | -22 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 69.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 13.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 3-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Jerv win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stromsgodset would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Jerv |
69.31% ( 0.96) | 16.83% ( -0.43) | 13.85% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 60.28% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.74% ( 0.86) | 30.26% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.49% ( 1.03) | 51.5% ( -1.03) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.09% ( 0.42) | 7.9% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.04% ( 1.06) | 27.96% ( -1.06) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( -0.14) | 34.54% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.74% ( -0.14) | 71.26% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Jerv |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.13)5-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.13)5-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)6-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.08)6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 69.31% | 1-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.83% | 1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.35% Total : 13.85% |
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