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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 23.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tromso IL | Draw | Aalesund |
54.66% ( -0.02) | 22.13% ( 0.01) | 23.21% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.3% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.12% ( -0.04) | 39.88% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.76% ( -0.04) | 62.24% ( 0.04) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( -0.02) | 14.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.37% ( -0.04) | 42.63% ( 0.04) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( -0.02) | 30.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( -0.02) | 66.83% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tromso IL | Draw | Aalesund |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.66% | 1-1 @ 10.16% 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 23.22% |
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