SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Tromso IL |
52.45% ( 0.07) | 22.09% ( 0) | 25.45% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.08% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.62% ( -0.07) | 37.38% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.4% ( -0.07) | 59.6% ( 0.07) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.58% ( -0) | 14.41% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.66% ( -0) | 42.33% ( 0) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( -0.09) | 27.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.05% ( -0.11) | 62.95% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 4.35% Total : 52.45% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 25.45% |
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