Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
