SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalesund win with a probability of 56.58%. A win for Jerv had a probability of 22.47% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aalesund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.73%) and 0-1 (7.41%). The likeliest Jerv win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aalesund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jerv | Draw | Aalesund |
22.47% ( -1.15) | 20.95% ( 0.11) | 56.58% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( -2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.81% ( -1.94) | 35.19% ( 1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.8% ( -2.18) | 57.2% ( 2.18) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( -2) | 28.6% ( 2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( -2.58) | 64.4% ( 2.58) |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.58% ( -0.33) | 12.42% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.68% ( -0.7) | 38.32% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jerv | Draw | Aalesund |
| 2-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.33% Total : 22.47% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.24)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.95% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.55)0-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.62)1-3 @ 6.73% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 3.51% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.15)1-5 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.07)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.49% Total : 56.58% |
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