SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lillestrom | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Molde | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | FK Haugesund | 10 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Jerv | 9 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 7 | -9 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 67.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Kristiansund win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Molde in this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Kristiansund |
67.8% ( -1.04) | 17.5% ( 0.32) | 14.7% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 60.03% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.39% ( 0.06) | 31.61% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.89% ( 0.07) | 53.1% ( -0.07) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.43% ( -0.21) | 8.57% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.38% ( -0.52) | 29.62% ( 0.52) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( 0.97) | 34.34% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.95% ( 1.03) | 71.04% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Kristiansund |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.24)1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 1.26% 6-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.52% Total : 67.8% | 1-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.47% Total : 14.7% |
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