Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 54.25%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.
