Having won their last two matches against better opposition, Lillestrom should have no trouble securing a comfortable victory against bottom-of-the-table Aalesund.
The visitors are yet to pick up a single point on the road so far this season, and we cannot see that poor record coming to an end against one of the Eliteserien's better sides.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Aalesund had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for an Aalesund win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
-0.01) 
0) 
