Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 7.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
