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Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 16, 2021 at 8pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
AD

AZ
2 - 1
ADO Den Haag

Aboukhlal (72', 89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kramer (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 7.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 1-2 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawADO Den Haag
79.51%13%7.5%
Both teams to score 50.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.25%30.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.9%52.1%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.96%6.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77%23.01%
ADO Den Haag Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.58%46.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.96%82.05%
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 79.51%
    ADO Den Haag 7.5%
    Draw 13%
AZ AlkmaarDrawADO Den Haag
2-0 @ 11.05%
3-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 8.48%
3-1 @ 7.94%
1-0 @ 7.87%
4-0 @ 7.26%
4-1 @ 5.57%
5-0 @ 4.07%
5-1 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 2.14%
6-0 @ 1.91%
6-1 @ 1.46%
5-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 79.51%
1-1 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 3.25%
0-0 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 13%
1-2 @ 2.32%
0-1 @ 2.15%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 7.5%

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