Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
