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Old Firm derby: 9 hrs 31 mins
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Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 16, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
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Sparta
3 - 5
PSV

Smeets (4'), Gravenberch (75'), Kharchouch (87' pen.)
Beugelsdijk (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Junior (24'), Malen (47', 90+3'), Madueke (49'), Max (71')
Thomas (37')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 0-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
18.9%19.81%61.3%
Both teams to score 60.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.21%34.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.24%56.76%
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37%31.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96%68.04%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89%11.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.71%35.29%
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 18.9%
    PSV Eindhoven 61.3%
    Draw 19.81%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.09%
1-0 @ 4.01%
2-0 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.16%
3-1 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 18.9%
1-1 @ 8.84%
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 3.48%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.81%
1-2 @ 9.76%
0-2 @ 8.48%
0-1 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 7.18%
0-3 @ 6.24%
2-3 @ 4.13%
1-4 @ 3.96%
0-4 @ 3.44%
2-4 @ 2.28%
1-5 @ 1.75%
0-5 @ 1.52%
2-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 61.3%

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