Liverpool
1 - 0
Ajax

Jones (58')
Wijnaldum (70'), Henderson (90+1'), Mane (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Schuurs (42'), Blind (55')

Preview

Kelleher determined to kick on at Liverpool after European debut

Jurgen Klopp reveals "massive" relief as Liverpool advance in Champions League

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ajax had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for an Ajax win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Ajax
57.25%	21.54%	21.21%

Both teams to score 58.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.37%

39.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.03%

61.97%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.33%

13.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.13%

40.86%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78%

32.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28%

68.71%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 57.25%

Ajax 21.21%

Draw 21.54%

Liverpool	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 6.55% 3-0 @ 5.79% 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 3.26% 4-0 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.41% Total : 57.25%	1-1 @ 9.93% 2-2 @ 5.59% 0-0 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.54%	1-2 @ 5.62% 0-1 @ 4.99% 0-2 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.48% Total : 21.21%