Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ajax had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for an Ajax win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
