Ajax
3 - 1
Groningen

Gravenberch (5'), Haller (54'), Tadic (77' pen.)
Kudus (48'), Klaassen (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Messaoudi (84')
te Wierik (72')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 10.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Groningen
75.01%	14.74%	10.26%

Both teams to score 56.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.34%

29.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.21%

50.79%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.36%

6.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.34%

24.66%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.3%

39.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.62%

76.38%

Score Analysis

Ajax 75.01%

Groningen 10.26%

Draw 14.74%

Ajax	Draw	Groningen
2-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.96% 3-0 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 8.1% 1-0 @ 7.15% 4-0 @ 5.95% 4-1 @ 5.49% 3-2 @ 3.74% 5-0 @ 3.23% 5-1 @ 2.98% 4-2 @ 2.54% 6-0 @ 1.46% 5-2 @ 1.38% 6-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 4.22% Total : 75.01%	1-1 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 4.14% 0-0 @ 2.64% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.2% Total : 14.74%	1-2 @ 3.05% 0-1 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 1.27% 0-2 @ 1.13% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.43% Total : 10.26%