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Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadium
A

PSV
1 - 1
Ajax

Zahavi (39')
Boscagli (54'), Zahavi (87'), Malen (89'), Dumfries (90+1'), Teze (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tadic (90+2' pen.)
Alvarez (38')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.99%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
30.79%22.8%46.41%
Both teams to score 63.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.14%36.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.97%59.03%
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36%23.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27%57.73%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68%16.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.09%45.91%
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 30.79%
    Ajax 46.41%
    Draw 22.79%
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.27%
1-0 @ 5.57%
2-0 @ 4.01%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 30.79%
1-1 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 6.59%
0-0 @ 3.86%
3-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 9.14%
0-1 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 6.34%
1-3 @ 5.52%
2-3 @ 3.98%
0-3 @ 3.83%
1-4 @ 2.5%
2-4 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.74%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 46.41%

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