Heerenveen
0 - 3
Ajax

FT(HT: 0-1)

Klaassen (19'), Tadic (63' pen.), Neres (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between Heerenveen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-3 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Ajax
17.24%	18.18%	64.58%

Both teams to score 63.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.31%

29.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.18%

50.82%

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83%

30.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.68%

66.32%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.24%

8.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.91%

30.09%

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 17.24%

Ajax 64.58%

Draw 18.18%

Heerenveen	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 4.62% 1-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.25% 2-0 @ 1.9% 3-1 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.46% Total : 17.24%	1-1 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 2.64% 3-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.18%	1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 7.84% 1-3 @ 7.62% 0-1 @ 6.44% 0-3 @ 6.36% 1-4 @ 4.64% 2-3 @ 4.57% 0-4 @ 3.87% 2-4 @ 2.78% 1-5 @ 2.26% 0-5 @ 1.89% 2-5 @ 1.36% 3-4 @ 1.11% 1-6 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.54% Total : 64.58%