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A
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
V

Ajax
5 - 0
Vitesse

Antony (5'), Alvarez (31'), Gravenberch (43'), Hajek (60' og.), Klaassen (67')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bazoer (41'), Oroz (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.42%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 3-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Vitesse win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawVitesse
71.42%16.03%12.54%
Both teams to score 59.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.44%29.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.34%50.66%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.69%7.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.58%26.42%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11%35.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33%72.67%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 71.42%
    Vitesse 12.54%
    Draw 16.03%
AjaxDrawVitesse
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8.98%
3-1 @ 8.03%
3-0 @ 7.83%
1-0 @ 6.86%
4-1 @ 5.25%
4-0 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 4.11%
5-1 @ 2.75%
4-2 @ 2.69%
5-0 @ 2.68%
5-2 @ 1.41%
6-1 @ 1.2%
6-0 @ 1.17%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 71.42%
1-1 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 4.71%
0-0 @ 2.62%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 16.03%
1-2 @ 3.6%
0-1 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-2 @ 1.38%
1-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 12.54%

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