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A
Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2021 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
N

Ajax
5 - 0
NEC

Haller (5'), Mazraoui (9'), van Rooij (13' og.), Tadic (19', 38')
FT(HT: 5-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 76.97%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 8.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawNEC
76.97%14.1%8.93%
Both teams to score 52.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.02%30.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.63%52.38%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.44%6.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.56%24.44%
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.7%43.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.46%79.54%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 76.97%
    NEC 8.93%
    Draw 14.1%
AjaxDrawNEC
2-0 @ 10.54%
3-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 8.02%
1-0 @ 7.74%
4-0 @ 6.52%
4-1 @ 5.46%
5-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 3.36%
5-1 @ 2.97%
4-2 @ 2.29%
6-0 @ 1.61%
6-1 @ 1.35%
5-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 76.97%
1-1 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 3.69%
0-0 @ 2.84%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 14.1%
1-2 @ 2.71%
0-1 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.03%
0-2 @ 1%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 8.93%

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