Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
